Hearing talk about home prices falling? That may leave you worried about whether your house is losing value. But here’s what you need to know. While some local markets have seen small price dips this year, home prices are not falling nationally. So, don’t let the headlines scare you.

The vast majority of the country is actually seeing prices rise.

While that may feel surprising after the headlines you’ve seen, the map below uses year-over-year data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to make that clear:

Let’s break down what this really shows.

Most states are seeing prices rise (the blue in that map). Not fall. Now, the gains aren’t as big as they’ve been in recent years, but that’s okay. The story is still, prices are growing. And that positive majority is exactly why data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows, nationally, home prices are up 2.1% compared to last year.

But the headlines don’t draw attention to this. They feed on the negative. But even that isn’t as bad as it sounds.

Yes, there are some states where homes have lost value over the past 12 months (the orange in the map above). That’s what all the chatter is drawing attention too. But here’s what the data really says.

The dips aren’t happening everywhere. And in the select states where prices are inching down, it’s slight. The range here is -0.1 to roughly -2%.

And those states are the ones where prices spiked too high, too fast during the pandemic housing boom. There was always going to be a come down period after that. Now, we’re in it. In those places, prices are leveling off. And that’s a sign of normalization, not collapse.

In plain terms: Home prices aren’t crashing. And this isn’t doom and gloom or the sign of broader trouble.

Most Homeowners Still Have Plenty of Value

Just to drive that point home, here’s one more thing to reassure you. Even in the few places where prices dipped slightly, most homeowners are still way ahead. Additional context from Zillow helps prove that point:

• Only about 4% of homes are worth less than what the owner originally paid.
• And 96% of homes are still worth more than their homeowners paid for them.

But don’t just take their word for it, see for yourself. When you zoom out and look at how much home prices have grown over the past five years, it’s a lot easier to understand why so many homeowners are still in such great shape.

Nationally, prices are up almost 49% in the last 5 years alone, and just about everywhere saw double-digit price growth in that time frame. That’s why there’s no orange in this map (see below):

The truth is, across the board, homeowners are still sitting on substantial gains. So, the -0.1 to -2% declines some states are seeing now? That’s easily absorbed.

So, don’t let the headlines scare you. What’s happening with home prices this year varies a lot from one area to the next. But the takeaway is clear: a small dip in some areas doesn’t mean your home’s value is collapsing.

It means select local markets are correcting – and most of the time these are the ones that saw prices rise the most during the pandemic. You’re probably still in great shape.

Bottom Line

If you’re hearing talk about price drops or crashes, a closer look at the data can help put things in perspective. That’s only happening in some markets. Most of the nation is still seeing prices rise.

And for the vast majority of homeowners, the long-term gains far outweigh any recent softening.

If you want help understanding what’s happening in our local market, let’s connect.

You may not want to put your homebuying plans into hibernation mode this winter. While a lot of people assume spring is the ideal time to buy a house, new data shows January may actually be the best time of year for budget-conscious buyers. 

Surprising, right? Here’s why January deserves a serious look.

1. Prices Tend To Be Lower This Time of Year

Lending Tree says January is the least expensive month to buy a home. And there’s something to that. January has historically offered one of the lowest price-per-square-foot points of the entire year. But the spring? That’s when demand (and prices) usually peak. And that’s not speculation – it’s a well-known trend based on years of market data.

So, how much less are we talking? Here’s a look at the numbers. According to the last full year of data, for the typical 1,500-square-foot house, buyers who closed in January paid about $23,000 less than those who bought in May. And that general trend typically holds each year (see chart below):

Now, your number will depend on the price, size, and type of the home you’re buying. But the trend is clear. For today’s buyers, meaningful savings are significant, especially when affordability remains tight for so many households.

2. Fewer Buyers and More Motivated Sellers 

And why do buyers typically save in the winter? It’s simple. Winter is one of the slowest times in the housing market each year. Both buyers and sellers tend to pull back, thinking it’s better to wait until spring. And that means:

• You face less competition
• You’re less likely to get into a multiple offer scenario
• Sellers are more willing to negotiate (since there aren’t as many buyers)

With fewer buyers in the market, you can take your time browsing.

But winter doesn’t just thin out the pool of buyers; it also reveals which sellers truly need to sell. Because fewer people are house hunting during the colder months, sellers who really need to move tend to be more open to negotiating. As Realtor.com explains:

“Less competition means fewer bidding wars and more power to negotiate the extras that add up: closing cost credits, home warranties, even repair concessions. . . these concessions can end up knocking thousands of dollars off the price of a home.”

This can include everything from price cuts to covering closing costs, adjusting timelines, and more. It doesn’t mean you’ll automatically get discounts on every home. But it does mean you’re more likely to be taken seriously and given room to negotiate.

Should You Wait for Spring?

Here’s the real takeaway. When you remove the pressure and frenzy of the busy spring season, it becomes much easier to get the home you want at a price that fits your budget.

But if you wait until spring, more buyers will be in the market. So waiting could mean you spend more and deal with more stress.

Now, only you can decide the right timing for your life, but don’t assume you should wait for warmer weather before you move.

Buying in January gives you: less competition, potentially lower prices, and more motivated sellers. And those are three perks you’re not going to see if you wait until spring.

Bottom Line

If you’ve been thinking about taking the next step, this season might give you more opportunity than you think.

Curious what buying in January could look like for you? Let’s take a closer look at your numbers and the homes that are available in our area.

The housing market hasn’t felt this energized in a long time – and the numbers backing that up are hard to ignore. Mortgage rates have eased almost a whole percentage point this year, and that shift is starting to wake up buyers.

Home loan applications have risen. Activity has picked up. And sellers who step in early could benefit from the momentum long before the competition catches on.

Let’s take a look at what’s happening behind the scenes and how you can take advantage of it.

When Rates Come Down, Buyer Activity Goes Up

In today’s market, buyer demand is closely tied to what happens with mortgage rates. As rates come down, applications for home loans go up. Rick Sharga, Founder and CEO of the CJ Patrick Company, explains it like this:

“We’re in an incredibly rate-sensitive environment today, and every time we’ve seen mortgage rates drop into the low-to-mid 6% range, we’ve seen an influx of buyers hit the market.”

And that’s precisely what the data shows. More people who were sidelined are applying for mortgages again now that borrowing costs have come down. Of course, that’s going to ebb and flow just like rates ebb and flow. But the bigger picture is that there’s been improvement overall since rates started coming down.

In fact, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) shows the Mortgage Purchase Index is hovering at the highest level so far this year:

And that’s not the only sign of optimism. MBA also shows that mortgage applications recently hit their highest point in almost 3 years. An apparent sign that demand is moving in the right direction heading into 2026:

And just in case you were wondering, it’s not just pent-up demand from the government shutdown that slowed the processing of government loans for a month or so. If you look back at the last graph, you’ll see the steady build-up of momentum throughout the entire year.

The big takeaway for you is this. Now that rates have come down, buyers are starting to ease back into the game. And that’s turning into real contracts on homes just like yours.

Home Sales Are Rebounding

To really drive home that this is trending in the right direction, the most recent report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that pending home sales (homes under contract) are picking up, too. The Pending Home Sales Index is also at the highest it’s been all year (see graph below):

And that means the market is ending the year on a high note and headed into 2026 with renewed energy. While that may not seem like a significant shift, it’s a rebound worth talking about.

Pending home sales are a leading indicator of where actual sales are going. If more homes are going under contract, it’s a good sign that more homes will actually close over the next two months, ultimately boosting sales. This could be part of why experts project home sales will inch higher in 2026 than in 2025 or 2024.

Of course, this may ebb and flow a bit as we see some year-end volatility with mortgage rates. But it shouldn’t be enough to change this overall trend. Expert forecasts say rates should stay pretty much where they are throughout 2026. That means the stage is set for this momentum to continue going into the new year.

What This Means for You

Here’s the opportunity. Selling now means:

• More buyer demand. As affordability improves, you could see more buyer traffic and home showings (if your house is priced and staged right). And the best part? The buyers who are re-engaging feel like they’ve already waited too long for this moment. So, they’ll be eager to move.
• Being ahead of the curve. Listing sooner rather than later puts you ahead of the game, before other sellers realize something’s shifted.

Whether you’ve been putting off selling because you thought buyers weren’t buying, or you took your house off the market because you weren’t getting any bites, this is your sign to act.

Bottom Line

Want to know what’s happening with buyer activity in our area, and what it could mean if you want to sell your house in the new year?

Let’s talk about getting your house listed in early 2026, so you can take advantage of this momentum building in the market.

One of the most significant advantages you can give yourself when buying a home today is surprisingly simple: a flexible wish list.

Think of it like this. Your wish list and your budget are the guardrails of your search. And when your budget needs to hold firm, there’s another lever you can pull. That’s seeing if you truly need all of your desired features. Because the truth is, a small compromise could be the difference between feeling stuck and getting the keys to your next home.

The data shows more buyers are using that strategy to offset affordability hurdles in today’s market. A recent study from Cotality found that most buyers (70%) compromised on one or more items on their original wish list. But before they started searching, only 33% expected to compromise at all:

What changed? They realized something during the search. The things you can’t change matter far more than the things you can update later.

You can:

• Install hardwood floors
• Put in those marble countertops
• Upgrade the bathrooms down the line.

You can’t as easily:

• Add land
• Tack on more bedrooms or bathrooms
• Move the house closer to people you care about

In the end, things like the location, layout, and overall bones matter far more than the cosmetic features you can change later. And that realization is power.

A Simple Step That’ll Open More Doors

So, if you’re hitting a wall in your search or you’re browsing online and just not seeing “it,” here’s an easy exercise that can reset the whole experience. Write down everything you want in a home, then sort it into three buckets:

• Must-Haves: Your non-negotiables. The things that make daily life workable: the number of bedrooms, the length of your commute, accessibility, safety, or being close to your family or support system.
• Nice-to-Haves: Features you’d absolutely enjoy but aren’t truly essential. Some examples: a fenced-in backyard, dual closets in the owner’s suite, or a stamped patio.
• Dream Features: The extras that would truly be over the top. They’re the things you think about when you say “one day, I want to have…” Please get them, but totally fine if you don’t (for now).

Once you divide your list, you’ll notice something. Your wish list can either limit your options or open them up.

Sometimes you’re treating “nice-to-haves” like “must-haves.” Loosen that up even a little, and suddenly more homes come into range – including homes you may have scrolled past that could actually work for your lifestyle.

Small Flexibility, Big Payoff

Your next home doesn’t need to check every box. It just needs to check the right ones.

Maybe that means considering a house that needs light cosmetic updates. Perhaps it means choosing a slightly smaller yard for a better location.

These aren’t sacrifices. They’re worthwhile trade-offs that get you into a home. Just remember, anything cosmetic can be upgraded over time. But getting the right bones, the right layout, the right location? That’s what sets you up for the long run.

An Agent Helps You See the Possibilities

If you’re not sure what to hold firm on and where you can flex, that’s where a trusted agent can be a game changer. They’ll help you spot the opportunities, walk you through what features you truly shouldn’t budge on, and determine which ones you can add later – when the time is right.

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to find a home that fits both your budget and your life, let’s take a look at your wish list together. With a local expert on your side, it’s easier to see where a little flexibility can open up a lot more opportunity.

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A lot of people are asking the same thing right now: “Is it even a good time to sell?” And the truth may come as a bit of a surprise…

For many homeowners, the answer is a strong yes.

Why? Because of one major factor working in your favor: your equity. Odds are, if you’ve lived in your home for a while, you know you have significant equity. But how much are we really talking about? The number might change everything about your next move.

The Hidden Wealth of Homeownership

Here’s how it works. When you own a home, you build up something called equity.

Each time you make a mortgage payment, you’re chipping away at your loan balance. And that helps your ownership stake in your home grow. At the same time, home values typically rise, which drives up the overall value of your home.

When you put those two things together, you’re building wealth automatically, month after month, year after year.

And that combo can add up to real dollars that can make a real difference in your move. That’s especially true if you’ve lived in your house for a while, which many homeowners have. According to Realtor.com:

“Nearly half (45.2%) of today’s homeowners have lived in their home for more than 15 years, and 1 in 4 for over 25 years.”

If that’s you, imagine what 15-25 years of payments + steady appreciation have done to your bottom line. It’s time you see how your equity stacks up over time.

What That Really Means in Dollars

This chart uses research from Realtor.com to estimate how much equity homeowners have built up, depending on when they bought. For each time frame, it uses the median-priced home as the baseline example. The numbers are shocking, too. According to the study, if you bought the average-priced home in…

• The mid-90s? You could be sitting on over $400,000 in equity now.
• The early 2000s? You could have over $330,000, even if you owned during the housing crash.
• In 2015? Even in that shorter 10-year time frame, many homeowners have already built nearly $285,000 in equity.

Of course, your actual numbers will vary based on the purchase price, any work you’ve done on the house, the size of your original down payment, and more. The point is…

A lot of homeowners are sitting on hundreds of thousands of dollars in equity without even realizing it.

Your Equity Could Power Your Next Move

Here’s where this becomes really important. That equity can offset nearly every concern you have about moving right now.

• Worried about taking on a higher mortgage rate? Your equity could cover a significant down payment. And the more money you put down, the less you need to finance at today’s rates.
• Unsure if you can compete in today’s market? Thanks to your equity, you may be able to buy your next house in cash. An all-cash offer is going to appeal to many sellers because they don’t have to worry about their buyer’s financing falling through at the last second.

Bottom Line

If you haven’t had someone help you understand the value of your home this year, now’s the perfect time to take another look. It doesn’t mean you have to sell. But it does mean you’ll at least know what you could be working with – and how far that number can take you.

If you want a custom professional equity assessment, let’s connect.

New home construction today is giving buyers something they feel they haven’t gotten much lately: a real shot at both the home they want and the deal they need. More brand-new options are on the market right now, and builders are rolling out incentives that make these homes more affordable than many people expect.

It’s a combination that doesn’t come around often – and it’s putting buyers in a surprisingly strong position this season. Here’s why this moment matters and why it’s worth partnering with your own local agent to take advantage of it.

1. More New Homes Are Available Now – and That May Not Last

There’s more new construction on the market today than normal. And for buyers, that means:

• More cutting-edge communities
• More move-in-ready homes
• More floor plans to pick from
• More upgraded designs and modern features

But that variety may not last.

Data from Zonda shows that even though it feels like new homes are popping up just about everywhere, builders have actually started pulling back. The number of starts (that’s when builders break ground) has been slowly but steadily declining over the past few years. And that’s good because it prevents overbuilding nationally.

But here’s the fundamental insight that can give you an edge. Forecasts show that the slight downward trend should continue next year (see graph below):

It’s a signal that the new inventory we have now may be your widest pool of all-new options for a while.

Today, Redfin says roughly 1 in 3 homes (27%) on the market are new builds. That’s higher than the norm, but the lowest share in four years. And it makes sense based on the graph above.

That means if you want more options to choose from, now’s the time to look.

And if you’re wondering: why the pullback? It’s simple. Since there are already more new homes for sale than usual, builders want to focus on selling down the supply they already have on the market rather than adding more. And that leads to point two.

2. Builder Incentives Just Hit an All-Time High

Here’s where things get even better for buyers. To make sure the inventory they have now keeps moving, builders are offering incentives at levels not seen in years – and many of those perks directly help buyers with affordability. Buyers today are getting:

• Lower Prices: Builders are lowering prices on their brand-new homes to attract buyers.
• Help with Closing Costs: Some builders are covering thousands of dollars in fees to reduce the upfront cost of buying.
• Extra Upgrades: Think premium finishes, appliance packages, and designer features, all added at no additional cost.
• Mortgage Rate Buydowns: This is when the builder pays to secure a lower mortgage rate for you, reducing your monthly payments and improving affordability.

But you don’t have to be lucky to see these types of perks. The truth is, the vast majority of builders are offering advantages like these right now. According to the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB), 65% of builders say they’re using some type of sales incentive and:

“. . . 41% of builders reported cutting prices in November, a record high in the post-Covid period and the first time this measure has passed 40%.”

That’s a big deal. It shows how willing builders are to negotiate right now.

And if you look closely at the graph, you’ll notice the use of incentives typically falls in the early part of the year, as buyer demand rises going into the spring. So, you have an edge if you act now. This may be your ideal window to find the most options and better prices.

If you lean on your own agent and you’re savvy about what you ask for, you could walk away with some of the best perks buyers have seen in years. And when every dollar counts and any incentive helps your bottom line, that’s worth looking into. 

More options and more savings = an offer too good to pass up.

Bottom Line

With most builders offering generous incentives and a wider selection of new homes for sale, buyers may be looking at one of the best times in years to buy a new build.

Let’s connect if you want to know which communities, builders, and incentives offer the most value today. Having your own agent (not the builder’s representative) makes the sale and negotiation process that much easier for you.

If you could have a brand-new home for less than you may expect, would you be interested?

Whether it’s at a family gathering, your company party, or catching up with friends over the holidays, the housing market always finds its way into the conversation.

Here are the top three questions on a lot of people’s minds this season, and straightforward answers to help you feel more confident about the market.

1. “Will I even be able to find a home if I want to move?”

Yes, more than you could a year or two ago.

The number of homes for sale has been rising over the past few years. According to data from Realtor.com, there have been more than one million homes on the market for six straight months, something that hasn’t happened since 2019 (see graph below):

That means two things:

• Buyers have more options.
• Sellers have more places they can move to next.

Many homeowners who held off are realizing the shelves aren’t bare anymore. So, if you hit pause on your home search last year because nothing fit your needs, it may be worth another look. With more homes on the market now, you’re not competing for the same handful of listings like you were a couple of years ago.

And because there’s a bit more to choose from, homes aren’t disappearing the minute they hit the market. That gives buyers more space to breathe, more options to compare, and a little more time to make a confident decision.

2. “Will I ever be able to afford a house?”

Affordability is starting to improve. Finally.

It’s been a tough few years for buyers. But this year brought some much-needed good news:

• Mortgage rates have been easing.
• Home price growth has been moderating.

That adds up to a monthly mortgage payment that’s hundreds of dollars lower than it would have been just a few months ago (see graph below):

Buying still isn’t easy, but the numbers are starting to improve. For many people, that means buying a home is becoming a more realistic goal again.

3. “Should I wait for prices to come down?”

A lot of people worry that the housing market is about to crash, but the data doesn’t point in that direction. Yes, the number of homes for sale has been rising, but it’s still nowhere near the level needed for prices to fall significantly on a national scale. On top of that, homeowners today have substantial equity and are in a much stronger financial position than they were in 2008.

Of course, every local market is a little different. Some areas are still seeing prices climb, while others that saw huge spikes a few years ago are leveling off or seeing minor corrections. But overall, the national picture is clear: experts surveyed by Fannie Mae project home prices will keep rising, just at a slower, more normal pace (see graph below):

That’s why waiting for a significant price drop to get a deal isn’t a very strategic plan. History shows the same thing over and over: people who spend time in the market tend to build the most long-term wealth, not the people who try to time the market perfectly.

Bottom Line

Talking about the housing market can feel loud and confusing, especially when you’re hearing so many different takes. If you want to understand what these trends mean for your goals, let’s connect and walk through it together.

Want to know how to find the best deal possible in today’s housing market? Here’s the secret. Focus on homes that have been sitting on the market for a while.

Because when a listing lingers, sellers tend to get more realistic – and more willing to negotiate. And that’s where the savviest buyers are finding homes other buyers overlook.

The Opportunity: 1 in 5 Homes Has Had a Price Cut This Year

According to Realtor.com, about 1 in every five listings (20.2%) have dropped their asking price at least once. And while so many things in today’s housing market vary by region, that number is consistent throughout the country. That tells you one thing…

No matter where you live, there’s a chance to score a better deal. You need to know where to look. And that’s where your agent comes in.

The Tactic: Target Homes That Have Been Sitting the Longest

Your agent can help you identify which homes have been on the market the longest. Those are the ones where you’re more likely to get a discount. That’s because the seller may be getting frustrated that their house hasn’t sold yet, so they’re more willing to play ball.

And since a lot of buyers steer clear of homes that aren’t selling, you may be the only offer they get. So, you can lean in and push for a better deal. As Realtor.com explains:

“Less competition means fewer bidding wars and more power to negotiate the extras that add up: closing cost credits, home warranties, even repair concessions . . . these concessions can end up knocking thousands of dollars off the price of a home.”

And they’re not the only ones calling out the opportunity you have right now. Bankrate also says:

“During the quieter fall and winter months, when fewer prospective buyers are shopping, home sellers may be more willing to lower their prices, or offer concessions, to attract those prospective buyers who are still looking.”

And the proof is in the data. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows a clear pattern: the longer a home stays on the market, the lower it tends to sell for compared to the original asking price.

So, if you’re serious about getting as much as you can for your money, focusing on these listings could be your best strategy yet.

Even a Small Discount Can Go a Long Way

And while paying 94% of the original asking price may not sound like much of a deal, the savings add up. That’s roughly $24,000 in savings on the median-priced home (see chart below):

Zillow sums it up best:

“If you’re a buyer who is hoping to strike a deal, look for homes that have been on the market for a while and that may already have lowered prices to entice buyers. You may find a motivated seller who is more willing to negotiate.”

Bottom Line

If you want to find the best deal possible on a home right now, start by looking where others aren’t.

With 1 in 5 sellers cutting prices and many growing more flexible by the week, the homes that have been sitting a little longer could be your best opportunity to save.

Let’s talk about where to find them in our area.

Renting can feel much less expensive and much simpler than buying a home, especially right now. No repairs, no property taxes, no worrying about mortgage rates – you pay the bill and move on with your life.

But here’s the part people don’t talk about enough: renting doesn’t help you build your financial future. Meanwhile, homeowners grow their net worth just by owning a home.

So, if you’ve been wondering whether buying is still worth it, the long-term math is more straightforward than you might think.

Renting vs. Owning: How the Costs Really Compare

Let’s break down one of the key differences between renting and buying. When you rent, your payment goes to your landlord, and then it’s gone. When you own, part of your payment goes back to you in the form of equity (the wealth you build as your home’s value increases and you pay down your home loan).

So, while renting may seem more affordable now, you have to remember it comes at a long-term cost: you’re not building your wealth. And it turns out that’s a bigger miss than you may expect.

First American recently analyzed the long-term financial impact of renting versus owning a home. They compared mortgage payments, property taxes, insurance, repairs, and maintenance with the equity gained from home price appreciation and mortgage paydown. And they did that during several different time frames to see if it tells a consistent story:

• 2006: the start of the housing bubble
• 2015: 10 years ago
• 2019: just before the pandemic (the last normal years in the market)
• 2022: when mortgage rates jumped

In each time frame, two things were true: renters lost money over time. And homeowners gained it.

Here’s some data so you can see this play out. Each color represents one of the key time frames. The solid lines show the buyer’s investment over time and how their net worth actually grew the longer they lived in their home. The dashed line represents the renter’s investment. In the end, they sank more and more cash into renting without gaining any financial benefit.

The takeaway is simple: time in a home builds wealth. Time renting doesn’t.

Basically, homeowners come out ahead. And the analysis shows that’s even after you factor in the other expenses that come with homeownership, like insurance, repairs, and property taxes. And that’s the case for every time frame First American looked into.

On the flip side, renters spent their money on rent but didn’t gain any long-term financial benefit. That’s true no matter what window of time you look at in the study.

Now, that doesn’t mean buying always beats renting in the short term. But the longer you own, the wider the wealth gap becomes.

Affordability Is Starting To Improve

You might still be thinking, “Okay, but buying feels out of reach for me right now.” Fair.

The past few years haven’t been easy for buyers. But things are starting to shift. Mortgage rates have come down this year, home prices are softening, and incomes have been rising. And according to Zillow, typical monthly payments have gotten a little easier compared to this time last year. Not by a lot, but enough to make a difference.

No, buying isn’t suddenly easy. But it is easier than it was just a few months ago. And in the long run, history shows it’s worth it.

Bottom Line

Renting may feel less expensive today, but owning is what builds real wealth over time. And with affordability starting to improve, the path to homeownership may be opening up more than you think.

If you’re curious what buying could look like for you, let’s connect. We can figure out your next move, pressure-free.